Bad weather in Toledo

Updated 26 October 2026. Averages for 2019–2025; 2026 up to 26 October 2026.

Toledo is heat: by far its top reason for a warning, with a high bar and plenty of orange in July and August.

The Tagus valley is summer country. Heat tops Toledo's warning list by a long way, even with one of the higher bars: yellow needs 38 °C. July and August hold a large share of the year's warnings, and many of them are orange or red.

There have been red heat warnings on 14 August 2021 and 14 July 2022. And one winter exception: in January 2021, with storm Filomena, the zone was on red for snow on the 8th and 9th, and for cold on the 12th.

Toledo has 87,216 inhabitants and sits in the Valle del Tajo warning zone (Toledo). Warnings are issued for the whole zone: it shares them with 8 other towns, such as Talavera de la Reina, Illescas and Seseña.

Toledo's warning zone and its neighbours

AEMET doesn't warn by city but by zone: Toledo gets the warnings for the Valle del Tajo zone, outlined on the map. The zones around it have their own thresholds and their own warnings.

• Valle del Tajo (Toledo's zone): 58 days a year
• Meseta cacereña: 40 days a year
• Montes del norte y Anchuras: 41 days a year
• Barros y Serena: 42 days a year
• La Siberia extremeña: 45 days a year
• Montes de Toledo: 47 days a year
• Valle del Guadiana: 50 days a year
• Meseta de Ávila: 52 days a year
• Sur de Salamanca: 53 days a year
• Sierra de San Vicente: 53 days a year
• La Mancha toledana: 53 days a year
• Villuercas y Montánchez: 53 days a year
• Tajo y Alagón: 53 days a year
• Alcarria conquense: 54 days a year
• Sistema Central de Salamanca: 54 days a year
• La Mancha de Ciudad Real: 57 days a year
• Alcarria de Guadalajara: 57 days a year
• Vegas del Guadiana: 57 days a year
• Meseta de Salamanca: 59 days a year
• Meseta de Segovia: 60 days a year
• Sur de Ávila: 63 days a year
• Metropolitana y Henares: 65 days a year
• Norte de Cáceres: 65 days a year
• La Mancha conquense: 67 days a year
• Serranía de Guadalajara: 68 days a year
• Sur, Vegas y Oeste: 70 days a year
• Sistema Central de Ávila: 73 days a year
• Sistema Central de Segovia: 74 days a year
• Sierra de Madrid: 78 days a year
• La Mancha albaceteña: 83 days a year

Toledo's bad-weather fingerprint

Each axis compares the warning days a year in Toledo's zone with the average of Spain's 182 zones. The dashed circle is the average zone; the edge, three times the average or more.

The year, month by month

Warning days in each month, averaged over 2019–2025, by the day's highest level.

Every day since 2019

Each line is one year in Toledo, January to December, and each mark a day with a warning in its zone: you can see at a glance when bad weather bunches up and which years were calmer.

The colour is each day's highest level. 2026: up to 26 October 2026. Hover or tap a mark to see the dates.

Which warnings, in which months

Warning days of each type and month, yearly average 2019–2025. A day with rain and storms counts in both rows.

Month by month, in detail

The best month to go (if you'd rather not see warnings)

Counting warning days and how serious they are, the quietest months in Toledo are February and March: 0.7 and 1.1 warning days on average. The busiest is July, with 15.

February and March are the quietest months: outside summer, the year issues few warnings.

Summers: the heat

Toledo has 34 heat-warning days a year (17 of them orange or red). Yellow starts at a forecast high of 38 °C; orange at 40 °C; red at 44 °C.

The heat-warning season usually runs from 22 June to 27 August. The earliest one came on 19 May; the latest, on 18 September.

Red heat days since 2019: 14 August 2021 and 14 July 2022.

Yellow for heat needs 38 °C, orange 40 °C and red 44 °C: high thresholds that are still often crossed in summer.

Winters: cold, snow and wind

Winter (December to February) brings 8.4 warning days on average: rain (1.0), wind (2.0), cold (2.9), snow (0.4) and fog (2.4).

The yellow cold warning starts at lows of −4 °C; red, at −12 °C. Snow, at 2 cm in 24 hours.

Red cold or snow days since 2019: 8 January 2021, 9 January 2021 and 12 January 2021.

Rain and storms

Toledo has 11 rain-warning days and 11 storm-warning days a year. The months with the most rain warnings are September, October and June.

Here the yellow rain warning starts at 15 mm in an hour or 40 mm in 12 hours; red, at 60 mm or 120 mm.

There hasn't been a single red rain or storm warning since 2019.

Wind, fog and coast

Wind warnings: 5.1 days a year; yellow starts at gusts of 70 km/h.

Fog: 3.4 days a year, always yellow (fog has no higher level).

Year by year

2026, up to 26 October 2026. For the same stretch of the year, the 2019–2025 average is 53 days.

The year with the most warnings was 2023, with 67 days.

The worst days

Every red day since June 2018:

• 14 July 2022 heat
• 14 August 2021 heat
• 12 January 2021 cold
• 9 January 2021 snow
• 8 January 2021 snow

The longest run of consecutive warning days lasted 25 days, from 20 July 2022 to 13 August 2022.

When a warning is issued in Toledo

Thresholds for the Valle del Tajo zone in AEMET's warning plan. Storms have no numeric threshold: yellow for strong storms, orange for very strong ones. More in what each colour means.

Toledo compared with other cities

Averages for 2019–2025. Careful: each zone has its own thresholds, so a warning doesn't mean exactly the same everywhere.

If you live in Toledo or are thinking of moving

• With 20 orange or red days a year, serious warnings are part of the calendar: it pays to know when they come.
• Summer is what you plan around: a cool home, air conditioning and morning schedules.
• Outside July and August, warnings are scarce.
• Snow is rare, but in January 2021 it reached red: don't rule it out entirely.

In short

A city of intense summer heat and calm months the rest of the year.

Frequently asked questions

When does it rain most in Toledo?

Going by the warnings, the months with the most rain-warning days are September and October. On average there are 11 rain-warning days a year.

What's the best month to visit Toledo?

If you want to dodge bad-weather warnings, February and March: they have the fewest warning days on average.

Have there been red warnings in Toledo?

Yes: 5 red days since June 2018, the latest on 14 July 2022 (heat).

Does it get very hot in Toledo?

There are 34 heat-warning days a year on average. The yellow warning here starts at a forecast high of 38 °C.

How this was made

Everything comes from the archive of official AEMET warnings that Climaviso has kept since June 2018: each day counts once, at the highest level the zone had. A warning is a forecast, not damage or a measurement, and it's issued for the whole zone, not your street. We don't cover measured temperatures or rainfall: only when, and why, a warning was issued.

More on Toledo

• Camino de Levante weather, stage by stage
• Don Quixote route weather, stretch by stretch
• Toledo's warnings day by day since 2018
• The Valle del Tajo zone
• Today's and tomorrow's warnings in Toledo
• How the year is going across Spain
• How warnings work

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